International Credit

One of the most difficult aspects of doing business internationally is the lack of reliable credit risk information for many countries. In this section, CP will provide insight into the financial, economic and political risks of various countries around the world.

Recent Articles

The Carlos Ghosn affair raises questions about justice and corporate governance in Japan.  "I escaped because I had zero chance of a fair trial."

Carlos Ghosn, the car-industry titan who served as the CEO of two major car companies, held a dramatic press conference in his home country of Lebanon on Wednesday to proclaim his innocence and set the record straight just nine days after escaping from house arrest in Japan.

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Colombia's stock exchange has proven to be the one bright spot so far in 2018 among Latin America's five largest capital markets. 

Capital markets in Latin America have had a rough ride so far in 2018 with one notable exception -- Colombia.  The market capitalization of the Bolsa de Valores de Colombia, or the Colombian Stock Exchange, has increased 13.4 percent through May 30th.

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Other than oil, the telecommunications industry has been a major area of growth in Nigeria in recent years but only a few companies are publicly traded.

The Nigerian government took the unusual step last week of urging the country's telecommunications companies to become publicly listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) face regulatory penalties, according to an article in Bella Naija, a Nigerian online media outlet.

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Tomorrow's election could prove pivotal as Nigeria tries to cope with a sharp drop in oil prices, chronic corruption and an ongoing Islamic insurgency.

As many as 56 million Nigerians are expected to go to the polls tomorrow as Nigeria, a West African nation of 170 million people, vote in what is expected to be the most important and closely monitored election since the country gained its independence from Great Britain 55 years ago.

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A combination of factors make this EU country, and its capital market, the one to watch when monitoring the credit and financial risks of Europe.

In the immediate aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis, one European country was spared the worst of the debt crisis even though it had as much debt as any other EU country.  It's avoidance of early trouble and potential for big trouble make this country a bellweather for EU solvency. 

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The risks associated with Russia's economy and political system have become so great that even the richest Russians are no longer taking a chance on the country that bore them their wealth.  Putin: "I am confident that we should finally close, turn the offshore-page." 

On September 17th of last year, news rippled through Russia's wealthy elite that billionaire Vladimir Yevtushenkov, the largest shareholder of the Sistema conglomerate, had been accused of money laundering and placed under house arrest.

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Although a key market, China's economy differs from the economies of most developed countries in five key respects, according to the country's own publicly-traded companies. "Everybody wants a piece of China."

Ancient Chinese philosopher Laozi, the founder of Taoism, said in the sixth century B.C., "Rule a big country as you would fry a small fish [with little stirring]...the more prohibitions there are, the poorer the people become."  In this article, CreditPulse reports on the five key economic risks related to doing business in China.

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Global domestic credit as a percent of GDP declined slightly in 2011, according to data from the World Bank.  Some countries have room for expansion while others are nearing the end of the line.

In recent years, the industrialized world's appetite for credit has created mountains of debt primarily in the form of bank loans and bond purchases.  Many of these countries are over-banked -- relying too much on banking and credit to achieve economic growth.

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Many of Spain's banks are in real trouble although the country's two largest -- Banco Santander and BBVA -- appear to be holding steady.  "Bad debts held by Spanish banks are at a 17-year high."

The Spanish government's decision to nationalize Bankia SA, the country's fourth largest bank, last week with a $24 billion bailout, the largest in Spain's history, effectively served notice that Spain's banking problems are worse than previously thought.

 

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Increased signs of political unrest in South Africa, the contintent's most developed nation, prompted Moody's to lower its credit outlook on the country from stable to negative.  "Political uncertainty is overplayed."

"For the first time ever in the 16 years of freedom and democracy, we see black and white South Africans celebrating together in the stadiums and fan parks," said South African President Jacob Zuma during last year's World Cup hosted by South Africa.  Get the details of why Moody's lowered South Africa's credit outlook in addition to other risk information.

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